Hi, my name is Randy Bias, the new VP Technology Strategy at GoGrid. As the new year approaches, I’m happy to make my first post on this blog.
I haven’t ever provided a New Year prediction list before, so I hope you will indulge. As the newest member of and the technology visionary on the GoGrid executive team I’m pretty excited to toss a few predictions into the ring for 2009. Hope this inspires more cloud conversation. Find more on my thoughts around infrastructure and cloud computing on my personal blog.
- Cloud-Oriented Architectures (COA) becomes much better understood
De facto standards drive the adoption of cross-cloud, loosely-coupled, distributed web applications that are connected by REST interfaces. The community at large comes to understand that this new category of applications are Cloud-Oriented Architectures (COA) and differ from SOA in being deployed on clouds, aware of clouds, and built using grassroots-derived standards instead of top-down standards like SOAP & WS-*.
- No Cloud Standards Emerge
Despite hype and hope, no new top-down derived cloud ‘standard’ emerges. Some forward thinking providers do move the ball forward by opening their platforms and hints of potential standards start to develop by widely embraced, but grass roots developed standards and APIs.
- Big Iron still has no clue
The Big Iron folks (Dell, IBM, Sun, and HP) continue to flail at offering ‘cloud’ offerings because they can’t take their focus away from hardware. Nothing real develops from those folks except failed attempts at ‘standardization’ and cloud offerings.
- Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) look to clouds & DR
Economic reality forces the hand of SMEs looking to shave IT costs. More and more dip their toes into the water, moving their non-production and elastic compute needs to ‘the cloud’. Disaster Recovery becomes the ‘killer app’ for forward thinking SMEs who want to minimize their exposure while maximizing dollars saved.
- Broad testing of internal clouds by F500
Fortune 500 widely tests internal cloud systems using VMware vCloud, EUCALYPTUS, OpenNebula, and related offerings. Small scale tests, but enough to get a flavor.
- Content Distribution Networks (CDNs) wake up and realize their business model is at stake
CDNs finally figure out that as clouds go global the primary barrier to entry for the CDN business, foreign real estate deals, disappears allowing customers to roll their own and a flood of *more* small upstarts enters the already crowded market. Smart CDNs turn into global cloud providers, further accelerating adoption, or remain clueless and are squeezed from both sides.
- Hybrid clouds come of age: scale-out on virtual servers and up on iron
Clue finally sets in that virtualization != clouds and multiple major cloud vendors provide combined virtual+physical server solutions, on-demand just like any other cloud computing offering. The new hybrid model sets Web 2.0 folks on fire escalating up take for folks reticent to re-engineer for massively distributed databases. Instead, using big iron for scaling up the DB becomes the de facto solution for anyone who cares more about getting to market and less about faux ‘scaling issues.’
- Clouds enter Asia
AWS goes to Asia or a credible competitor arises there capturing mind share and further expanding the global reach of cloud computing providers. Conversely, clouds entering Asia realize that it’s a fragmented market with expensive intra-country bandwidth, making cost effective traction difficult on a cross-Pacific Rim basis.
1. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention that we’re leading the charge with one of our latest offerings, Cloud Connect, that allows cross-connecting dedicated servers to your GoGrid cloud.