A few weeks ago, I posted my 2009 Cloud Computing predictions. I already had one of my predictions validated (regarding VC funding – #3) with GoGrid partner, RightScale, receiving $13M in funding this week. (Congrats to them!). So I figured that I would ask GoGrid’s CEO, John Keagy, for his Cloud Computing predictions for 2009. What I received from him is verbatim (I know that I can always count on John to provide solid insight coupled with some humor).
John’s predictions are as follows:
- Asking “is the Enterprise ready for the Cloud” will be analogized to “the Internet is a fad”
- There will be some Cloud security breaches that will become super high profile
- Questioning the security of the Cloud will become less vogue
- The demand on companies to develop Cloud strategies will be likened to Y2K certification
- Cloud strategies will be proven to be more important than Y2K certification
- SAN storage will not emerge as being relevant to Cloud Computing
- NoHardware.com will illuminate the spirit of the Cloud movement
- RackSpace stock will claw back to $10.00
- Al Gore will announce he invented Cloud Computing
- “Cloud Computing will ______fill in the blank______”
I love the fact that John shoots from the hip with many of these predictions. But there are several points here that warrant a bit more commentary from me (are you surprised?).
- The “Cloud” is not a fad, nor is “the Internet.” In fact, the Internet, in many aspects, it the largest Cloud Infrastructure out there. Read Reuven Cohen’s post on this subject. So using basic logic I learned in high school: IF “internet is a fad” is a false statement, AND, “the Internet is a huge Cloud Infrastructure” is a true statement, THEN we can infer that “Cloud Computing is a fad” is a false statement. (Not sure how bullet proof my inferences and assumptions are but you should get my point here.)
- Everyone is holding Cloud Computing under a microscope. Every little “glitch” or “downtime” will be amplified 10-fold. However, I agree that there will be a breach that gets public attention that will cause everyone to step on the brakes a bit, but then move forward as before with “lessons learned.”
- People love picking apart things that are new. It’s an obvious statement that security is a big deal, within the Cloud or not. So, as the hype dies down, “security” will be just another check box right after “save money.”
- It is inevitable that as companies restructure from an organizational and financial perspective and undergo drastic re-engineering that Cloud Computing will be one of those technologies that will be forefront in many strategies. John likens it to Y2K compliance – the Cloud must be part of your 2009 strategy for success.
- Y2K certification was required to ensure that the software/hardware within businesses didn’t collapse when 2000 came around. Cloud Computing goes beyond this because it affects your bottom line and profitability in so many areas. Sure, in Y2K your systems could have collapsed but you didn’t have a choice: you had to comply. With 2009, you not only need survive but also try to squeak out a profit in the process. Y2K was a requirement, Cloud Computing is an optional component to a successful company business and infrastructure strategy. If complying also means survival and profit, then it IS required.
- Cloud Storage offerings will continue to grow, eliminating the need for dedicated physical storage devices (SANs) within the Cloud. SAN technology itself is old, costly and doesn’t work well with the times. Using a combination of iSCSI/NAS might be a better, more cost effective solution.
- “Hardware? We don’t need no stinkin’ hardware!” Companies will start recycling (hopefully) their old bare-metal servers (in various creative ways) and will move to the Cloud. Get some ideas on how to “dispose” of your old hardware at NoHardware.com .
- RackSpace did a few amazing things last year. They had one of the only technology IPO’s in 2008. That is a huge accomplishment (kudos to them). As of this writing, RackSpace (RAX) is trading at $5.73/share. Not too far to go to get back to their IPO price of $12.50. Also, their recent acquisition of companies for more Cloud services is compelling.
- Wait, didn’t he also invent the Internet? Seriously though, Cloud Computing goes a long way with the Green aspect of computing. There is less power consumed and less computer parts needing to be recycled (as they are virtualized). Save the planet!
- …be the silver bullet to slow or stop the recession? …enable companies to maintain profitability? …bring government into the 21st century? What do YOU think Cloud Computing will do in 2009?