Posts Tagged ‘2009’


8 More Cloud Computing Predictions for 2009

Thursday, December 18th, 2008 by

Hi, my name is Randy Bias, the new VP Technology Strategy at GoGrid.  As the new year approaches, I’m happy to make my first post on this blog.

I haven’t ever provided a New Year prediction list before, so I hope you will indulge.  As the newest member of and the technology visionary on the GoGrid executive team I’m pretty excited to toss a few predictions into the ring for 2009.  Hope this inspires more cloud conversation.  Find more on my thoughts around infrastructure and cloud computing on my personal blog.

  1. Cloud-Oriented Architectures (COA) becomes much better understood
    De facto standards drive the adoption of cross-cloud, loosely-coupled, distributed web applications that are connected by REST interfaces.  The community at large comes to understand that this new category of applications are Cloud-Oriented Architectures (COA) and differ from SOA in being deployed on clouds, aware of clouds, and built using grassroots-derived standards instead of top-down standards like SOAP & WS-*.
  2. No Cloud Standards Emerge
    Despite hype and hope, no new top-down derived cloud ‘standard’ emerges.  Some forward thinking providers do move the ball forward by opening their platforms and hints of potential standards start to develop by widely embraced, but grass roots developed standards and APIs.
  3. Big Iron still has no clue
    The Big Iron folks (Dell, IBM, Sun, and HP) continue to flail at offering ‘cloud’ offerings because they can’t take their focus away from hardware.  Nothing real develops from those folks except failed attempts at ‘standardization’ and cloud offerings.
  4. Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) look to clouds & DR
    Economic reality forces the hand of SMEs looking to shave IT costs.  More and more dip their toes into the water, moving their non-production and elastic compute needs to ‘the cloud’.  Disaster Recovery becomes the ‘killer app’ for forward thinking SMEs who want to minimize their exposure while maximizing dollars saved.
  5. Broad testing of internal clouds by F500
    Fortune 500 widely tests internal cloud systems using VMware vCloud, EUCALYPTUS, OpenNebula, and related offerings.  Small scale tests, but enough to get a flavor.
  6. Content Distribution Networks (CDNs) wake up and realize their business model is at stake
    CDNs finally figure out that as clouds go global the primary barrier to entry for the CDN business, foreign real estate deals, disappears allowing customers to roll their own and a flood of *more* small upstarts enters the already crowded market.  Smart CDNs turn into global cloud providers, further accelerating adoption, or remain clueless and are squeezed from both sides.
  7. Hybrid clouds come of age: scale-out on virtual servers and up on iron
    Clue finally sets in that virtualization != clouds and multiple major cloud vendors provide combined virtual+physical server solutions, on-demand just like any other cloud computing offering.  The new hybrid model sets Web 2.0 folks on fire escalating up take for folks reticent to re-engineer for massively distributed databases.  Instead, using big iron for scaling up the DB becomes the de facto solution for anyone who cares more about getting to market and less about faux ‘scaling issues.’[1]
  8. Clouds enter Asia
    AWS goes to Asia or a credible competitor arises there capturing mind share and further expanding the global reach of cloud computing providers.  Conversely, clouds entering Asia realize that it’s a fragmented market with expensive intra-country bandwidth, making cost effective traction difficult on a cross-Pacific Rim basis.


1. I would be remiss if I didn’t mention that we’re leading the charge with one of our latest offerings, Cloud Connect, that allows cross-connecting dedicated servers to your GoGrid cloud.

GoGrid CEO’s 10 Predictions for Cloud Computing in 2009

Tuesday, December 16th, 2008 by

fortune_cookie A few weeks ago, I posted my 2009 Cloud Computing predictions. I already had one of my predictions validated (regarding VC funding – #3) with GoGrid partner, RightScale, receiving $13M in funding this week. (Congrats to them!). So I figured that I would ask GoGrid’s CEO, John Keagy, for his Cloud Computing predictions for 2009. What I received from him is verbatim (I know that I can always count on John to provide solid insight coupled with some humor).

John’s predictions are as follows:

  1. Asking “is the Enterprise ready for the Cloud” will be analogized to “the Internet is a fad”
  2. There will be some Cloud security breaches that will become super high profile
  3. Questioning the security of the Cloud will become less vogue
  4. The demand on companies to develop Cloud strategies will be likened to Y2K certification
  5. Cloud strategies will be proven to be more important than Y2K certification
  6. SAN storage will not emerge as being relevant to Cloud Computing
  7. will illuminate the spirit of the Cloud movement
  8. RackSpace stock will claw back to $10.00
  9. Al Gore will announce he invented Cloud Computing
  10. “Cloud Computing will ______fill in the blank______”

I love the fact that John shoots from the hip with many of these predictions. But there are several points here that warrant a bit more commentary from me (are you surprised?).

  1. The “Cloud” is not a fad, nor is “the Internet.” In fact, the Internet, in many aspects, it the largest Cloud Infrastructure out there. Read Reuven Cohen’s post on this subject. So using basic logic I learned in high school: IF “internet is a fad” is a false statement, AND, “the Internet is a huge Cloud Infrastructure” is a true statement, THEN we can infer that “Cloud Computing is a fad” is a false statement. (Not sure how bullet proof my inferences and assumptions are but you should get my point here.)
  2. Everyone is holding Cloud Computing under a microscope. Every little “glitch” or “downtime” will be amplified 10-fold. However, I agree that there will be a breach that gets public attention that will cause everyone to step on the brakes a bit, but then move forward as before with “lessons learned.”
  3. People love picking apart things that are new. It’s an obvious statement that security is a big deal, within the Cloud or not. So, as the hype dies down, “security” will be just another check box right after “save money.”
  4. It is inevitable that as companies restructure from an organizational and financial perspective and undergo drastic re-engineering that Cloud Computing will be one of those technologies that will be forefront in many strategies. John likens it to Y2K compliance – the Cloud must be part of your 2009 strategy for success.
  5. Y2K certification was required to ensure that the software/hardware within businesses didn’t collapse when 2000 came around. Cloud Computing goes beyond this because it affects your bottom line and profitability in so many areas. Sure, in Y2K your systems could have collapsed but you didn’t have a choice: you had to comply. With 2009, you not only need survive but also try to squeak out a profit in the process. Y2K was a requirement, Cloud Computing is an optional component to a successful company business and infrastructure strategy. If complying also means survival and profit, then it IS required.
  6. Cloud Storage offerings will continue to grow, eliminating the need for dedicated physical storage devices (SANs) within the Cloud. SAN technology itself is old, costly and doesn’t work well with the times. Using a combination of iSCSI/NAS might be a better, more cost effective solution.
  7. “Hardware? We don’t need no stinkin’ hardware!” Companies will start recycling (hopefully) their old bare-metal servers (in various creative ways) and will move to the Cloud. Get some ideas on how to “dispose” of your old hardware at .
  8. RackSpace did a few amazing things last year. They had one of the only technology IPO’s in 2008. That is a huge accomplishment (kudos to them). As of this writing, RackSpace (RAX) is trading at $5.73/share. Not too far to go to get back to their IPO price of $12.50. Also, their recent acquisition of companies for more Cloud services is compelling.
  9. Wait, didn’t he also invent the Internet? Seriously though, Cloud Computing goes a long way with the Green aspect of computing. There is less power consumed and less computer parts needing to be recycled (as they are virtualized). Save the planet!
  10. …be the silver bullet to slow or stop the recession? …enable companies to maintain profitability? …bring government into the 21st century? What do YOU think Cloud Computing will do in 2009?

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Ten Cloud Computing Predictions for 2009

Tuesday, December 2nd, 2008 by

crystal-ball_cloudy After about a year of Cloud Computing under my belt, analyzing trends in the market, talking with various professionals as well as customers in the space and watching our own Cloud Computing product, GoGrid, take off as a Cloud Computing leader and innovator, I feel that it is time to make some 2009 predictions for Cloud Computing. Who would have guessed that 2008 would have been “The Year of the Cloud“? I think that 2009 will be “The Year of the CLOUDS” (emphasis on multiple).

A Quick Look Back

If you look back to January 2008, the players in Cloud Computing were few are far between. Obviously, Amazon was breaking ground in establishing themselves as the front-runner at that time. But the term was too new and largely undefined. One of my first blog posts discussed some trends of grid computing, virtualization & virtualized hosting, cloud computing and “green hosting.” For the most part, many of those concepts have not changed. Rather, they have evolved, grown and become more established as leading technologies for the future. As of the writing of that article, GoGrid was still in Private Beta, but with well over 2 years of development getting it ready for prime time.

Virtualization was definitely the buzzword of the beginning of 2008, mainly because it was something that people could fairly easily understand. There were several desktop virtualization products available for users to host different OS’s within their own OS. As Jeff Kaplan predicted, On-Demand services started to really take off for several reasons that are applicable even today (if not more so). His number 1 reason: “Services are Recession Proof” (more about that later in my predictions). While Jeff’s ideas were largely focused on SaaS, there is a lot to be said when you apply them to Cloud Computing in general.

Close to when GoGrid was launched at the end of March 2008, coincidentally(?) the search term “Cloud Computing” (according to Google Insight) really started a strong upward trend within World Wide Searches:


(more…) «Ten Cloud Computing Predictions for 2009»